1,347
edits
Changes
Jump to navigation
Jump to search
Line 302:
Line 302: − + Line 332:
Line 332: + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + Line 340:
Line 464: +
no edit summary
'''Table 5. Challenges reported for Badiar National Park'''
'''Table 5. Challenges reported for Badiar National Park'''
{| border="1" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" class="challenges-table"
{| border="1" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" class="impediments-table"
!align="left"|Challenge <!-- Do not change categories -->
!align="left"|Challenge <!-- Do not change categories -->
!Source <!-- source for impediment mentioned -->
!Source <!-- source for impediment mentioned -->
|-
|-
|}
|}
= Exposure to climate change impacts =
As part of a study on the exposure of African great ape sites to climate change impacts, Kiribou et al. (2024) extracted climate data and data on projected extreme climate impact events for the site. Climatological characteristics were derived from observation-based climate data provided by the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP, www.isimip.org). Parameters were calculated as the average across each 30-year period. For 1981-2010, the EWEMBI dataset from ISIMIP2a was used. For the two future periods (2021-2050 and 2071-2099) ISIMIP2b climate data based on four CMIP5 global climate models were used. For future projections, two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) were used. RCP 2.6 is a scenario with strong mitigation measures in which global temperatures would likely rise below 2°C. RCP 6.0 is a scenario with medium emissions in which global temperatures would likely rise up to 3°C by 2100. For the number of days with heavy precipitation events, the 98th percentile of all precipitation days (>1mm/d) was calculated for the 1979-2013 reference period as a threshold for a heavy precipitation event. Then, for each year, the number of days above that threshold was derived. The figures on temperature and precipitation anomaly show the deviation from the mean temperature and mean precipitation for the 1979-2013 reference period.
The estimated exposure to future extreme climate impact events (crop failure, drought, river flood, wildfire, tropical cyclone, and heatwave) is based on a published dataset by Lange et al. 2020 derived from ISIMIP2b data. The same global climate models and RCPs as described above were used. Within each 30-year period, the number of years with an extreme event and the average proportion of the site affected were calculated (Kiribou et al. 2024).
'''Table 7. Estimated past and projected climatological characteristics in Badiar National Park'''
{| border='1' cellpadding='5' cellspacing='0' class='EE-table'
|
|'''1981-2010'''
|'''2021-2050, RCP 2.6'''
|'''2021-2050, RCP 6.0'''
|'''2071-2099, RCP 2.6'''
|'''2071-2099, RCP 6.0'''
|-
|Mean temperature [°C]
|28.3
|29.6
|29.4
|29.8
|31.4
|-
|Annual precipitation [mm]
|1028
|1016
|930
|1019
|902
|-
|Max no. consecutive dry days (per year)
|129.5
|131.3
|131.6
|131.2
|135.4
|-
|No. days with heavy precipitation (per year)
|2.8
|3.5
|3.5
|3.6
|3.3
|-
|}
'''Table 8. Projected exposure of apes to extreme climate impact events in Badiar National Park'''
{| border='1' cellpadding='5' cellspacing='0' class='EE-table'
|
|'''No. of years with event (2021-2050, RCP 2.6)'''
|'''% of site exposed (2021-2050, RCP 2.6)'''
|'''No. of years with event (2021-2050, RCP 6.0)'''
|'''% of site exposed (2021-2050, RCP 6.0)'''
|'''No. of years with event (2070-2099, RCP 2.6)'''
|'''% of site exposed (2070-2099, RCP 2.6)'''
|'''No. of years with event (2070-2099, RCP 6.0)'''
|'''% of site exposed (2070-2099, RCP 6.0)'''
|-
|Crop failure
|7
|0.29
|3
|0.29
|8.5
|0.29
|10
|0.29
|-
|Drought
|3.5
|100
|1.75
|100
|1
|50
|2
|50
|-
|Heatwave
|2
|100
|0.5
|50
|2
|100
|3.5
|100
|-
|River flood
|0.75
|0.01
|1
|0.07
|1
|0.26
|0.5
|0.05
|-
|Tropical cyclone
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|-
|Wildfire
|30
|1.25
|30
|1.01
|29
|1.14
|29
|2.36
|-
|}
<div><ul>
<li style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top;"> [[File:PrecipAnomaly_PrecipAnomaly_Badiar NP.png | 450px | thumb| right | Precipitation anomaly in Badiar National Park]] </li>
<li style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top;"> [[File: TempAnomaly_Badiar NP.png | 450px | thumb| right | Temperature anomaly in Badiar National Park]] </li>
</ul></div>
GALF. 2012. Wildlife Law Enforcement in Guinea. March - November 2012 Report. Online: [http://www.wara-enforcement.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/Report-GALF-march-nov-2012-Version-EN-.pdf www.wara-enforcement.org] <br>
GALF. 2012. Wildlife Law Enforcement in Guinea. March - November 2012 Report. Online: [http://www.wara-enforcement.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/Report-GALF-march-nov-2012-Version-EN-.pdf www.wara-enforcement.org] <br>
Ham R. 1998. Nationwide chimpanzee census and large mammal survey Republic of Guinea. Unpublished report for the European Communion, Guinea-Conakry. <br>
Ham R. 1998. Nationwide chimpanzee census and large mammal survey Republic of Guinea. Unpublished report for the European Communion, Guinea-Conakry. <br>
Kiribou, R., Tehoda, P., Chukwu, O., Bempah, G., Kühl, H. S., Ferreira, J., ... & Heinicke, S. (2024). Exposure of African ape sites to climate change impacts. PLOS Climate, 3(2), e0000345.<br>
METT. 2009. Management Effectiveness Evaluations – Parc National du Badiar. Online: [https://papaco.org/guinea/ papaco.org] <br>
METT. 2009. Management Effectiveness Evaluations – Parc National du Badiar. Online: [https://papaco.org/guinea/ papaco.org] <br>
Sambou B et al. 2002. Palm wine harvesting by the Bassari threatens Borassus aethiopum populations in north-western Guinea. Biodiversity and Conservation 11: 1149-1161 <br>
Sambou B et al. 2002. Palm wine harvesting by the Bassari threatens Borassus aethiopum populations in north-western Guinea. Biodiversity and Conservation 11: 1149-1161 <br>